Nigeria may be in for a terrible financial quagmire as the price of Brent oil drops below $50, for the first time since 2009.
Nigeria
had based its N4.3 trillion budget for 2015 on an oil price of $65, but
the projection appears to have exploded into smoke. The budget, which
allocates 91 per cent
of projected expenditure on recurrent expenses may
need a rejigging and a drastic cutback on the money to be spent on
public officials and National Assembly.
The Nigerian budget for
this year had been twice reviewed. Analysts said Dr.Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala
and her team may need the big scissors all over again.
The new price regime was triggered by OPEC’s production stance, oversupply, weak demand and the strong dollar.
In
morning London deals, Brent North Sea crude for delivery in February
dived to a 5.5-year low at $49.81 a barrel. New York crude had already
slumped under $50 on Monday.
“The move below $50 shows how momentum is everything here,” CMC Markets analyst Michael Hewson told AFP.
“With
no sign that OPEC will do anything about over-production, it seems
likely that we could well see further declines towards $40 in the coming
weeks — particularly given that demand shows no signs of picking up.
“Weak
growth and weak demand in China and Europe are likely to continue to be
the main drivers as the battle for market share intensifies. We’ll
probably still see sharp swings in the interim but the direction of
travel seems clear, unless OPEC acts.”
Crude futures had tumbled
Tuesday to fresh multi-year lows in another stormy day for global
financial markets, as OPEC kingpin Saudi Arabia blamed weak global
economic growth and said it will stick to its guns on production policy.
On Monday, Saudi Arabia reportedly cut its European and US export prices in order to maintain market share.
Oil
has lost more than half its value since June owing to a global supply
glut and slowing growth in major world economies that has hurt demand.
Losses
accelerated in November after the 12-nation Organization of the
Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) cartel decided not to cut output in
response to lower prices and oversupply.
OPEC opted to keep its oil output ceiling at 30 million barrels per day (mbpd) despite ample global supplies.
Analysts
said the move was aimed at stifling competition from new market players
with higher costs — in particular US shale oil producers.
Source:PM News

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